The passage of Tropical Storm EARL expected to partially mitigate dryness over Central America
Africa Weather Hazards
Consistent and aboveaverage rain over the past few weeks has led to moisture surpluses throughout much of Eastern Africa. Torrential rain is forecast to continue over western Sudan and the highlands of Ethiopia and Eritrea, likely to elevate the River Nile and Al Gash River levels further and potentially resulting in flooding over many areas of Sudan during the next week.
Heavy and frequent rain over the past several weeks has led to substantial rainfall surpluses already triggering flooding over many local areas of West Africa, including regions of Burkina Faso since July. During the next week, significant rainfall is forecast, elevating the risk for flooding over parts of Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger and northern Nigeria during early August.
With heavy rains received over parts of Senegal, Mali, and southern Mauritania during July, there is a potential for increased number of locusts which may negatively impact cropping activities.
Central America and the Caribbean Weather Hazards
Uneven spatial and temporal distribution of rainfall over the past several weeks has strengthened moisture deficits and led to abnormal dryness throughout portions of Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua. Damaged crops have already been reported over many local areas, including the Huehuetenango,
Quiché, Sololá, Totonicapán, and El Progreso departments of Guatemala.Tropical Storm EARL, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, is expected to intensify during the next twenty four hours and continue to track westward over the upcoming days. This weather disturbance is forecast to bring torrential rain and strong winds, which could result in flooding and infrastructure damages over the Bay Islands of Honduras, northern coastlines of Honduras, Belize, and northern Guatemala.
Very poor rainfall performance over the past several weeks has resulted in rapidly growing rainfall deficits in eastern provinces of the Dominican Republic. Declining vegetation index values indicate a recent negative response of ground conditions to the lack of rain